Impact of Seasonal Shifts on Cereal Crop Acreage in Western Odisha, India: An Empirical Analysis
Moumita Baishya
*
The Graduate School, ICAR-Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi-110012, India.
Gunturi Alekhya
Division of Agronomy, ICAR-Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi-110012, India.
Veershetty
The Graduate School, ICAR-Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi-110012, India.
G. Avinash
The Graduate School, ICAR-Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi-110012, India.
Harish Nayak GH
University of Agricultural Sciences, Dharwad, Karnataka-580005, India.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
In recent years, India’s agricultural landscape has undergone profound changes driven by a variety of factors. The sector in Odisha, in particular, is characterized by considerable risks and uncertainties, necessitating a thorough examination of growth and stability. This research offers an in-depth evaluation of the compound growth rate and Coppock’s Instability Index for four principal cereal crops—rice and maize during the Kharif season, and ragi and wheat during the Rabi season—with a focus on crop area. Utilizing secondary data spanning from 1993-94 to 2022-23, this study analyzes and compares the area changes and instability across districts in Western Odisha. The study also includes a district-wise ranking based on these metrics, facilitating a comparison between the Kharif and Rabi seasons. The findings reveal distinct variations in crop area trends and instability, providing critical insights into the agricultural challenges and patterns within the region.
Keywords: Compound growth rate, Coppock’s instability index, growth rate, CGR, temporal Analysis