Trend and Relationship of Market Arrivals and Prices of Paddy in Gadchiroli District, Maharashtra, India
Devyanee K. Nemade *
College of Agriculture, Dr. PDKV, Akola, India.
Mittal M. Supe
College of Agricultural Engineering, Dr. PDKV, Akola, India.
Manjusha S. Gaykwad
Oilseed Research Unit, Dr. PDKV, Akola, India.
Madhuri Dhomane
Pulses Research Unit, Dr. PDKV, Akola, India.
Aruna S. Katole
Directorate of Extension Education, Dr. PDKV, Akola, India.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
Price changes in agricultural commodities frequently occur because of the seasonal aspects of production. Agriculture is marked by significant fluctuations in crop yields, which in turn result in greater variability in market arrivals. Variations in market arrivals significantly affect price volatility and the fluctuations of agricultural products; it is essential to comprehend the price trends over time. It is said that following rainfall, prices are the farmer's biggest adversary. Analysing arrivals and prices enables the farmer to determine the optimal time for selling agricultural products to achieve better prices for their goods. The study was based on secondary data. The study is an attempt to examine the trends in arrival and prices of selected agricultural commodities by using different trends in arrival, and prices were estimated, and to study the association between arrival and prices of selected agricultural commodities. In Gadchiroli district main crop is Paddy and the data on arrival and prices of paddy were collected from APMC markets of Gadchiroli district for the recent 20 years, i.e. from 2005-2006 to 2024- 2025. Correlations were used for calculating the association between arrival and prices of selected Agricultural commodities. The result shows that there is also a significant increase in arrivals except in the month May to August. In the case of the Armori market, most of the results of arrival were negatively significant. It indicates that the annual arrival of paddy decreased during the study period. The price of paddy increased significantly during the study period in all months in all markets. The result of supported trend analysis, the trend analysis of market arrival and prices of paddy crop, the market arrival as well as the prices showed a declining trend initially, after which they started increasing gradually in APMC-Gadchiroli, Chamorshi and Aheri market, whereas the arrival of Armori market showed an increasing trend over time. The lowest arrival was observed in the month of January in the APMC-Gadchiroli and Chamorshi markets. In the APMC-Armori market results, the lowest arrival in the month of April and the APMC-Aheri market results are recorded consistently in Arrival. The results of the relationship between arrival and prices (r = - 0.47 and r = - 0.53) were significantly negative for both Gadchiroli and Chamorshi markets, respectively. In the market of Aheri & Armori magnitude of the correlation coefficient was negative and non-significant, i.e. -0.05 and 0.16, respectively. This indicated that the arrival influences prices, the more arrival less price. But the correlation coefficient turned out to be non-significant because there was much variability in arrivals due to climatic conditions. The overall study indicates that, along with an increase in paddy arrival, prices have decreased. The reason might be due to the immediate cash requirement by the farmers, which also compelled them to go for sale immediately after harvest, though the prices were ruling low in the respective months. The farmers, traders and policymakers in Gadchiroli district may need to consider price risk management strategies to mitigate the impact of price fluctuation on farmers' income and market stability.
Keywords: Arrival and Prices, trends, correlation, APMC market, agricultural commodities