Quantitative Assessment of Trends and Growth in Guar Gum Exports: The Case of India and Its Key Trade Partners
Sanjay Ahirwar *
Department of Agricultural Economics, college of Agriculture Gwalior RVSKVV, Gwalior, Madhya Pradesh India.
Sneha Pandey
RVSKVV, College of Agriculture, Gwalior, Madhya Pradesh, India.
Dolli Thakur
Department of Agricultural Economics, college of Agriculture Gwalior RVSKVV, Gwalior, Madhya Pradesh India.
Awdhesh Singh
KVK, Datia, RVSKVV, Gwalior, Madhya Pradesh, India.
S. C. Srivastava
KVK Gwalior, RVSKVV, College of Agriculture, Gwalior, Madhya Pradesh, India.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
Guar or Cluster bean (Cyamopsis tetragonoloba L.) has been cultivated for grains as well as for green vegetable purposes since ancient times in India. This study examines the trends and growth performance of guar gum exports from India along with its major importing countries during the period 2013–2022. The present study was based on secondary data pertaining to guar gum exports from India and its major importing countries. The data were collected for the period 2013–14 to 2022–23 from published sources such as APEDA and FAOSTAT. The analysis focuses on annual growth rates in export quantity and value to assess the stability and dynamics of India’s export performance in the global market. The results reveal that guar gum exports exhibited a highly fluctuating trend throughout the study period, indicating significant instability in both quantity and value. The growth pattern of export quantity showed alternating phases of expansion and contraction. Positive growth was observed in selected years such as 2014, 2018, 2021, and 2022, with the highest increase recorded in 2018. However, several years experienced substantial negative growth, particularly during 2015–2017 and 2019–2020, reflecting instability in export performance. A similar pattern was observed in export value, which declined sharply during 2014–2016, followed by recovery phases in subsequent years, especially in 2017, 2021, and 2022. The strong growth in recent years indicates improved price realisation and revival in global demand. The analysis of major importing countries, including the USA, China, Germany, Italy, Canada, and Australia, also showed synchronised fluctuations with India’s export trends. Periods of global expansion, such as 2014, 2018, 2021, and 2022, were characterised by positive growth across most countries, while contraction phases during 2015–2017 and 2019–2020 reflected widespread decline in international demand. These patterns suggest a strong linkage between India’s export performance and global market conditions. Overall, the results indicate that guar gum exports are highly sensitive to external economic conditions and energy market dynamics. The study suggests the need for diversification of export destinations, promotion of value addition, and supportive policy measures to stabilise export performance and reduce volatility in the future.
Keywords: Guar gum exports, trend analysis, compound growth rate, export performance, importing countries